Financial Black Holes

Ref: BBC Click

Where does the £22billion claim come from?

The £21.9bn figure was in an audit published by the Treasury at the end of July, external – just a few weeks after Labour came to power.

The document looked at areas of public spending which are set to go over budget this year, including: 

  • Public sector pay rises
  • Overspending on certain projects, such as supporting the asylum system
  • Unforeseen costs, such as inflation being higher than expected
  • Military assistance to Ukraine

To put the figure into context, in the Spring Budget, external it was expected that total public spending this year would be £1,226 bn. The £22bn is a small proportion of that.

But Gemma Tetlow from the Institute for Government think tank told BBC More or Less: “looking back at history and the amount that the government tends to overspend its budgets in previous years, £22bn would be quite a large number”.

To cover some of the shortfall, Chancellor Rachel Reeves made several announcements:

  • Ending winter fuel payments for those not receiving pension credit
  • Cancelling infrastructure projects, such as the road tunnel near Stonehenge
  • Scrapping previous government measures, such as the planned cap on social care charges from October 2025.

Document below is from the Office for Budget Responsibility